Prediction: Francisco Cerundolo vs Mert Alkaya
Team pages: Francisco Cerundolo · Mert Alkaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisco Cerundolo
Mert Alkaya
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Francisco Cerundolo
3-7 (W-L)
Mert Alkaya
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisco Cerundolo 1500 · Mert Alkaya 1496
| Francisco Cerundolo | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 85% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Francisco Cerundolo makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Francisco Cerundolo | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.7 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.5-16 | 10-10.9 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 28.1% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisco Cerundolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Yanki Erel Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 05/09 | Taylor Fritz US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 25-23 | W |
| 03/09 | Jan-Lennard Struff US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-23 | W |
| 01/09 | Filip Misolic US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Jaume Munar Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Mert Alkaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Thiago Agustin Tirante Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Tiago Torres Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/08 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisco Cerundolo vs Mert Alkaya?
Our model gives 70% to Francisco Cerundolo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.