Prediction: Alex Molcan vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Team pages: Alex Molcan · Stefanos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Molcan
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Molcan
5-5 (W-L)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alex Molcan
1–0
Stefanos Tsitsipas
(1 last)
- 17 Sept2-1 17-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Molcan 1499 · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1527
| Alex Molcan | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alex Molcan 1–0 Stefanos Tsitsipas (1).
Statistics
| Alex Molcan | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12 | 14.6-14 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 8.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 30.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
H2H · Alex Molcan 1 – 0 Stefanos Tsitsipas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Molcan 1–0 Stefanos Tsitsipas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/23 Davis Cup | 2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Molcan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Benjamin Bonzi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-21 | L |
| 23/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Valentin Royer ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Jiri Lehecka Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
Stefanos Tsitsipas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Norbert Gombos Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Ben Shelton US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 04/09 | Jiri Lehecka US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-20 | W |
| 31/08 | Arthur Fils US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 27/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Valentin Royer ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Molcan vs Stefanos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 61% to Stefanos Tsitsipas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.