Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 20/09, 14:30
Prediction: Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Vadym Ursu
Team pages: Gabi Adrian Boitan · Vadym Ursu
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabi Adrian Boitan
Vadym Ursu
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Gabi Adrian Boitan
7-3 (W-L)
Vadym Ursu
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabi Adrian Boitan 1533 · Vadym Ursu 1459
| Gabi Adrian Boitan | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabi Adrian Boitan (rating 1533 vs 1459).
- Gabi Adrian Boitan is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Vadym Ursu makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Gabi Adrian Boitan | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.8 | 10.8-11.9 |
| Aces | 5 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.3% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 27.7% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabi Adrian Boitan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Ziya Ayberk Aydin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Alastair Gray Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Vadym Ursu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Dev Javia M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Lucas Poullain M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Vadym Ursu?
Our model gives 65% to Gabi Adrian Boitan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.