Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 20/09, 10:00
Prediction: Mickael Kaouk vs Justin Boulais
Team pages: Mickael Kaouk · Justin Boulais
Prediction summary
Winner
Mickael Kaouk
Justin Boulais
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mickael Kaouk
6-4 (W-L)
Justin Boulais
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mickael Kaouk 1496 · Justin Boulais 1446
| Mickael Kaouk | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mickael Kaouk (rating 1496 vs 1446).
- Note: Mickael Kaouk makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Mickael Kaouk | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11 | 10.6-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mickael Kaouk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Nicolas Ifi M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Matt Ponchet M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Justas Trainauskas M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 20/06 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Justin Boulais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Theo Arribage Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/09 | Matis Roche Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Adam Walton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Connor Church Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mickael Kaouk vs Justin Boulais?
Our model gives 59% to Justin Boulais, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.