Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 20/09, 11:30

Prediction: Leonardo Rossi vs Daniel Masur

Team pages: Leonardo Rossi · Daniel Masur

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Leonardo Rossi Daniel Masur
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Leonardo Rossi 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWLWWL
Daniel Masur 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWLLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leonardo Rossi 1556 · Daniel Masur 1524
Leonardo RossiDaniel Masur
Our model55%45%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Leonardo RossiDaniel Masur
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.2-1.2
Games (G-P)11.3-10.213.2-13
Aces5.55.7
Double faults2.82.8
1st serve %72.5%72.1%
Break %36%35%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leonardo Rossi

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Aidan Mchugh
M25 Nevers
0-2 6-12 L
17/09 Mathys Domenc
M25 Nevers
2-1 16-14 W
16/09 Liam Branger
M25 Nevers
2-0 12-7 W
13/09 Melios Efstathiou
M25 Pozzuoli
0-2 8-13 L
12/09 Aidan Mchugh
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 12-7 W
11/09 Dimitris Sakellaridis
M25 Pozzuoli
2-1 16-14 W
10/09 Mateja Stanisavljevic
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 12-4 W
09/09 Jacopo Bilardo
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 12-6 W
25/08 Charles Broom
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
24/08 Radu Albot
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 14-13 W

Daniel Masur

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Borna Gojo
Challenger Rennes · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
14/09 Daniel De Jonge
Challenger Rennes · Hard
2-1 18-18 W
13/09 Adrien Gobat
Challenger Rennes · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
12/09 Mark Lajal
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
11/09 Ugo Blanchet
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-1 15-16 W
09/09 Jurij Rodionov
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-1 17-11 W
08/09 Dan Added
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
31/08 Luca Potenza
Challenger Manacor · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
27/08 Facundo Mena
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
26/08 Max Schoenhaus
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-1 18-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leonardo Rossi vs Daniel Masur?

Our model gives 58% to Daniel Masur, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.