Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 20/09, 10:00
Prediction: Daniel Jade vs Ryan Peniston
Team pages: Daniel Jade · Ryan Peniston
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Jade
Ryan Peniston
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Jade
6-4 (W-L)
Ryan Peniston
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Jade 1549 · Ryan Peniston 1418
| Daniel Jade | Ryan Peniston | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Jade (rating 1549 vs 1418).
- Daniel Jade is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ryan Peniston makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Jade | Ryan Peniston | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.1 | 8-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 60% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Jade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Mathys Domenc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Rahul Dhokia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 17/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 16/07 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Alexandre Aubriot M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Raphael Perot Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Michael Zhu Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Ryan Peniston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 20/02 | Max Basing M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 19/02 | Francisco Rocha M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/02 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/02 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/01 | Coleman Wong Challenger Manama · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/01 | Hyeon Chung Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/01 | Roman Andres Burruchaga Australian Open · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Jade vs Ryan Peniston?
Our model gives 54% to Daniel Jade, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.