Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 20/09, 10:00
Prediction: Michele Ribecai vs Mathys Domenc
Team pages: Michele Ribecai · Mathys Domenc
Prediction summary
Winner
Michele Ribecai
Mathys Domenc
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Michele Ribecai
5-5 (W-L)
Mathys Domenc
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michele Ribecai 1491 · Mathys Domenc 1533
| Michele Ribecai | Mathys Domenc | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathys Domenc (rating 1491 vs 1533).
Statistics
| Michele Ribecai | Mathys Domenc | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11 | 12-11.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michele Ribecai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 28/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Johannus Monday Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/08 | Mark Ceban Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Mathys Domenc
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Kyle Overmyer M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/08 | Daniel Jade M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 28/08 | Robin Bertrand M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Mahmoud Chetouane M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Toby Martin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Adrian Andreev M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Simone Massellani M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Adrien Berrut M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michele Ribecai vs Mathys Domenc?
Our model gives 63% to Michele Ribecai, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.