Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 20/09, 11:30
Prediction: Matteo Martineau vs Cesar Bouchelaghem
Team pages: Matteo Martineau · Cesar Bouchelaghem
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Martineau
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Martineau
5-5 (W-L)
Cesar Bouchelaghem
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Martineau 1475 · Cesar Bouchelaghem 1579
| Matteo Martineau | Cesar Bouchelaghem | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cesar Bouchelaghem (rating 1475 vs 1579).
- Matteo Martineau dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 49% break avg.
- Cesar Bouchelaghem is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matteo Martineau | Cesar Bouchelaghem | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-13 | 11.2-7.6 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 49% | 48.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Martineau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Emile Hudd Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Billy Blaydes Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Oscar Brown M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/09 | Kasra Rahmani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Ammar Elamin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Hugo Car M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Josh Manuel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Martineau vs Cesar Bouchelaghem?
Our model gives 57% to Cesar Bouchelaghem, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.