Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 20/09, 19:00
Prediction: Matei Gavrea vs Marco Alvarez
Team pages: Matei Gavrea · Marco Alvarez
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Prediction summary
Winner
Matei Gavrea
Marco Alvarez
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Matei Gavrea
6-4 (W-L)
Marco Alvarez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matei Gavrea 1537 · Marco Alvarez 1573
| Matei Gavrea | Marco Alvarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matei Gavrea | Marco Alvarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-8.7 | 9.9-8.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matei Gavrea
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Luca Ostovany UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/09 | Zach Stephens UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Rithvik Katpelly UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | James Lorenzetti UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Mason Bui UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/08 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Andrew Gordon UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Ivan Savkin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Marco Alvarez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/09 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Mihnea Maftei UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Brayden Tallakson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Victor Castro UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Ivan Savkin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Sohrob Amiryavari UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Charlie Underwood UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Luca Ostovany UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matei Gavrea vs Marco Alvarez?
Our model gives 52% to Marco Alvarez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.