Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 20/09, 13:00
Prediction: Patrick Zahraj vs Mathys Erhard
Team pages: Patrick Zahraj · Mathys Erhard
Prediction summary
Winner
Patrick Zahraj
Mathys Erhard
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Zahraj
5-5 (W-L)
Mathys Erhard
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patrick Zahraj 1485 · Mathys Erhard 1562
| Patrick Zahraj | Mathys Erhard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathys Erhard (rating 1485 vs 1562).
- Mathys Erhard dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 52.8% break avg.
- Mathys Erhard is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Patrick Zahraj | Mathys Erhard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.6 | 14.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 7.7 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patrick Zahraj
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Mickael Kaouk M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Sven Corbinais M25 Plaisir |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Matisse Martin M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Andrin Casanova M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 30/07 | Vincent Marysko M25 Wetzlar |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Mathys Erhard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Benjamin Pietri Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Charles Broom Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Anton Shepp Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Olaf Pieczkowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patrick Zahraj vs Mathys Erhard?
Our model gives 64% to Mathys Erhard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.