Tennis · WTA Porto · 20/09, 12:30

Prediction: Sofia Johnson vs Ivana Sebestova

Team pages: Sofia Johnson · Ivana Sebestova

Prediction summary
Winner
75% 25%
Sofia Johnson Ivana Sebestova
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Johnson 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLWLLWL
Ivana Sebestova 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sofia Johnson 1555 · Ivana Sebestova 1501
Sofia JohnsonIvana Sebestova
Our model58%42%
Market89%11%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Johnson (rating 1555 vs 1501).
  • Note: Ivana Sebestova makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Sofia JohnsonIvana Sebestova
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81.2-1.2
Games (G-P)11-8.710.5-11.4
Aces1.41
Double faults2.64.1
1st serve %61.5%58%
Break %49.4%41.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sofia Johnson

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/09 Malaika Rapolu
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
13/09 Margaux Rouvroy
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
12/09 Matilde Jorge
W50 Evora
1-2 10-13 L
11/09 Kayla Cross
W50 Evora
2-1 18-15 W
10/09 Xinyu Gao
W50 Evora
2-0 12-4 W
08/09 Oceane Dodin
W50 Evora
2-1 16-10 W
07/09 Mary Lewis
W50 Evora
2-0 12-7 W
06/09 Isabella Marton
W50 Evora
2-0 12-1 W
05/09 Linda Fruhvirtova
W50 Leiria
0-2 4-12 L
04/09 Anastasia Gasanova
W50 Leiria
2-0 12-7 W

Ivana Sebestova

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Sonja Zhenikhova
W75 Bytom
0-2 5-12 L
16/08 Klara Blazkova
W50 Prague
1-2 9-16 L
20/07 Laura Svatikova
W100 Amstetten
1-2 18-18 L
19/07 Anika Jaskova
W100 Amstetten
2-1 15-9 W
13/07 Barbora Michalkova
W75 Olomouc
2-0 13-7 W
24/06 Weronika Falkowska
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
23/06 Anna Kmiecik
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
22/06 Victoria Kapcia
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
18/06 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
17/06 Khrystyna Vozniak
W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sofia Johnson vs Ivana Sebestova?

Our model gives 75% to Sofia Johnson, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.