Tennis · Davis Cup · 19/09, 22:00

Prediction: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi

Team pages: Juan Pablo Varillas · Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi

Prediction summary
Winner
76% 24%
Juan Pablo Varillas Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Pablo Varillas 3-7 (W-L)
LLWWLLLWLL
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi 3-7 (W-L)
WLWWLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juan Pablo Varillas 1545 · Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi 1487
Juan Pablo VarillasHernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Our model58%42%
Market91%9%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Pablo Varillas (rating 1545 vs 1487).

Statistics

Juan Pablo VarillasHernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 63% (8) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.10.9-1.3
Games (G-P)13.2-11.710.3-12.1
Aces3.85.8
Double faults1.12.8
1st serve %73.2%69.8%
Break %41.2%32.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juan Pablo Varillas

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/09 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup
2-1 18-16 W
11/09 Thiago Seyboth Wild
Challenger Genoa · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
10/09 Francesco Passaro
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
08/09 Federico Arnaboldi
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-1 18-13 W
06/09 Matej Dodig
Challenger Como · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
05/09 Jay Clarke
Challenger Como · Clay
2-1 19-13 W
02/09 Federico Arnaboldi
Challenger Como · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
31/08 Jan Kumstat
Challenger Como · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
24/08 Luka Pavlovic
US Open · Hard
1-2 15-19 L
01/08 Mili Poljicak
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Ignacio Buse
Davis Cup
1-2 17-18 L
29/07 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M15 Sao Paulo
0-2 5-12 L
20/07 Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 7-12 L
16/06 Hernan Casanova
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 5-13 L
21/05 Raphael Perot
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
20/05 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
2-1 16-18 W
18/05 Timothee Andriveau
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
17/05 Alexandre Vassard
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
18/03 Pedro Boscardin Dias
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
01/03 Lautaro Agustin Falabella
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juan Pablo Varillas vs Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi?

Our model gives 76% to Juan Pablo Varillas, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.