Tennis · Davis Cup · 19/09, 20:30

Prediction: Ignacio Buse vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Team pages: Ignacio Buse · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Ignacio Buse Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Ignacio Buse 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWWLLW
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLLWWWLW
Head-to-head
Ignacio Buse 1–0 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (1 last)
  • 24 Aug2-0 14-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ignacio Buse 1551 · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1458
Ignacio BuseAdolfo Daniel Vallejo
Our model63%37%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ignacio Buse (rating 1551 vs 1458).
  • Ignacio Buse is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Ignacio Buse 1–0 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (1).

Statistics

Ignacio BuseAdolfo Daniel Vallejo
Win %70%40%
Win % · Hard 67% (9) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.31.1-1.4
Games (G-P)14.2-13.110.5-12.5
Aces4.83.1
Double faults23.6
1st serve %61.9%70.3%
Break %37.1%47%
Estimated total games (ours) 24

H2H · Ignacio Buse 10 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ignacio Buse 10 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

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DateSetsGamesRes.
24/08/23
Challenger Lima
2-014-11W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ignacio Buse

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup
2-1 18-17 W
03/09 Benjamin Bonzi
US Open · Hard
0-3 8-19 L
02/09 Marcos Giron
US Open · Hard
3-2 27-20 W
29/08 Arthur Fery
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/08 Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 16-9 W
27/08 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
26/08 Daniel Altmaier
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
25/08 Adam Walton
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 17-12 W
17/08 Adam Walton
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
05/08 Cameron Norrie
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Gael Monfils
US Open · Hard
1-3 9-20 L
25/08 Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
18/08 Tommy Paul
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
15/08 Valentin Vacherot
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/08 Kyrian Jacquet
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/08 Juncheng Shang
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
21/07 Kilian Feldbausch
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
18/07 Luciano Darderi
ATP Bastad · Clay
1-2 14-18 L
17/07 Stefano Travaglia
ATP Bastad · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
15/07 Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Bastad · Clay
2-1 17-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ignacio Buse vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo?

Our model gives 69% to Ignacio Buse, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.