Tennis · Davis Cup · 19/09, 21:30

Prediction: Cesar Cruz vs Jaime Faria

Team pages: Jaime Faria

Prediction summary
Winner
25% 75%
Cesar Cruz Jaime Faria
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Cesar Cruz 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLWWLWL
Jaime Faria 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cesar Cruz 1517 · Jaime Faria 1535
Cesar CruzJaime Faria
Our model47%53%
Market6%94%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Jaime Faria dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 46.1% break avg.
  • Note: Jaime Faria makes many double faults (7.4/match).

Statistics

Cesar CruzJaime Faria
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.5-1.2
Games (G-P)11-9.812.9-13.4
Aces1.88.3
Double faults2.57.4
1st serve %66.1%71.4%
Break %40.9%46.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cesar Cruz

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/09 Rishvanth Krishna
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
12/09 Emon Van Loben Sels
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
11/09 Antreas Djakouris
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 10-14 L
08/09 Jacob Brumm
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 12-13 W
08/09 Liam Oliver
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
16/06 Karl Kazuma Lee
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
13/06 Xavier Calvelo
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 15-19 L
11/06 Benjamin Sparks
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
10/06 Sebastian Bielen
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
09/06 Antreas Djakouris
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Jaime Faria

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
US Open · Hard
1-3 11-22 L
30/08 Jenson Brooksby
US Open · Hard
3-2 24-23 W
20/08 Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
18/08 Adam Walton
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
17/08 Ben Shelton
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
15/08 Jenson Brooksby
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/08 Yibing Wu
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
12/08 Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
06/08 Titouan Droguet
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
01/08 Christopher O'Connell
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 13-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cesar Cruz vs Jaime Faria?

Our model gives 75% to Jaime Faria, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.