Prediction: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yanki Erel
Team pages: Francisco Cerundolo · Yanki Erel
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisco Cerundolo
Yanki Erel
Estimated games
24.7
Recent form · 10 last
Francisco Cerundolo
2-8 (W-L)
Yanki Erel
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisco Cerundolo 1496 · Yanki Erel 1544
| Francisco Cerundolo | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanki Erel (rating 1496 vs 1544).
- Note: Francisco Cerundolo makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Francisco Cerundolo | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.8 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.1-17 | 11.8-8.3 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 30.8% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisco Cerundolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 05/09 | Taylor Fritz US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 25-23 | W |
| 03/09 | Jan-Lennard Struff US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-23 | W |
| 01/09 | Filip Misolic US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Jaume Munar Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Yanki Erel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/09 | Radu Albot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/09 | Yuto Oki M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Kousuke Ogura M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Kokoro Isomura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisco Cerundolo vs Yanki Erel?
Our model gives 62% to Francisco Cerundolo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.