Prediction: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mert Alkaya
Team pages: Thiago Agustin Tirante · Mert Alkaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Mert Alkaya
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Agustin Tirante
6-4 (W-L)
Mert Alkaya
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Agustin Tirante 1547 · Mert Alkaya 1499
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Agustin Tirante (rating 1547 vs 1499).
- Note: Thiago Agustin Tirante makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-13.9 | 10.6-10.1 |
| Aces | 10.5 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 80% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 31.2% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Adrian Mannarino US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 21-25 | L |
| 21/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Martin Landaluce ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Novak Djokovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Jan Choinski ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 09/08 | Learner Tien ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Duncan Chan ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Mert Alkaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Tiago Torres Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/08 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mert Alkaya?
Our model gives 69% to Thiago Agustin Tirante, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.