Prediction: Otto Virtanen vs Valentin Vacherot
Team pages: Otto Virtanen · Valentin Vacherot
Prediction summary
Winner
Otto Virtanen
Valentin Vacherot
Estimated games
25.5
Recent form · 10 last
Otto Virtanen
5-5 (W-L)
Valentin Vacherot
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Otto Virtanen
1–0
Valentin Vacherot
(1 last)
- 18 Aug2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Otto Virtanen 1503 · Valentin Vacherot 1493
| Otto Virtanen | Valentin Vacherot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Otto Virtanen dominates on serve: 10 aces and 42% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Otto Virtanen 1–0 Valentin Vacherot (1).
- Note: Otto Virtanen makes many double faults (5.9/match).
- Note: Valentin Vacherot makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Otto Virtanen | Valentin Vacherot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.4-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-12.8 | 14.8-15.2 |
| Aces | 10 | 11.4 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 76.7% |
| Break % | 42% | 24.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.5
H2H · Otto Virtanen 1 – 0 Valentin Vacherot (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Otto Virtanen 1–0 Valentin Vacherot
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/21 M25 Muttenz | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Otto Virtanen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Lucas Catarina Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/08 | Andrey Rublev US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 22-31 | L |
| 26/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Ugo Blanchet US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Vignesh Gogineni ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Timofey Skatov Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Valentin Vacherot
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Frances Tiafoe US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Kamil Majchrzak US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-18 | W |
| 31/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 15/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Thomas Faurel French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 24/04 | Emilio Nava ATP Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Otto Virtanen vs Valentin Vacherot?
Our model gives 58% to Valentin Vacherot, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.