Tennis · Davis Cup · 19/09, 12:00

Prediction: Timofey Skatov vs Maximus Jones

Team pages: Timofey Skatov · Maximus Jones

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Timofey Skatov Maximus Jones
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Timofey Skatov 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWLLWWLL
Maximus Jones 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Timofey Skatov 1459 · Maximus Jones 1518
Timofey SkatovMaximus Jones
Our model42%58%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maximus Jones (rating 1459 vs 1518).

Statistics

Timofey SkatovMaximus Jones
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 25% (4) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.2-1.2
Games (G-P)9.9-10.911.5-10.6
Aces2.45
Double faults3.81.9
1st serve %59.9%69.4%
Break %37.1%58.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Timofey Skatov

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Yanki Erel
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
26/08 Grigor Dimitrov
US Open · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
25/08 Gilles Arnaud Bailly
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
20/08 Gauthier Onclin
Challenger Cancun · Hard
1-2 11-14 L
03/08 Alex Barrena
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
31/07 Juan Pablo Varillas
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
30/07 Otto Virtanen
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
28/07 Thomas Faurel
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
23/07 Andrey Rublev
ATP Estoril · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
21/07 Jesper De Jong
ATP Estoril · Clay
2-1 13-13 W

Maximus Jones

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Hiroki Moriya
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
08/09 Florent Bax
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
02/09 Ivan Ivanov
Challenger Manacor · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
01/09 Oskari Paldanius
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
31/08 Alastair Gray
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
04/07 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
03/07 Kokoro Isomura
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 15-10 W
02/07 Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 16-9 W
01/07 Makoto Ochi
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 15-10 W
17/06 Hunter Heck
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Timofey Skatov vs Maximus Jones?

Our model gives 55% to Timofey Skatov, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.