Prediction: Alexander Shevchenko vs Kasidit Samrej
Team pages: Alexander Shevchenko · Kasidit Samrej
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Shevchenko
Kasidit Samrej
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Shevchenko
6-4 (W-L)
Kasidit Samrej
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Shevchenko 1448 · Kasidit Samrej 1550
| Alexander Shevchenko | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kasidit Samrej (rating 1448 vs 1550).
- Kasidit Samrej dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 46.6% break avg.
- Kasidit Samrej is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alexander Shevchenko makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Shevchenko | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-13.4 | 11-9.5 |
| Aces | 7.8 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Shevchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Dino Prizmic US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 24-26 | L |
| 14/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Alexandre Muller ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Kasidit Samrej
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Yan Cheng Chen M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Kai-I Wang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Shevchenko vs Kasidit Samrej?
Our model gives 54% to Alexander Shevchenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.