Tennis · Davis Cup · 19/09, 16:30

Prediction: Khololwam Montsi vs Damir Dzumhur

Team pages: Khololwam Montsi · Damir Dzumhur

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Khololwam Montsi Damir Dzumhur
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Khololwam Montsi 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWWL
Damir Dzumhur 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Khololwam Montsi 1606 · Damir Dzumhur 1524
Khololwam MontsiDamir Dzumhur
Our model62%38%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Khololwam Montsi (rating 1606 vs 1524).
  • Khololwam Montsi is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Khololwam MontsiDamir Dzumhur
Win %90%60%
Win % · Hard 90% (10) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.9-0.31.5-1.1
Games (G-P)12.5-7.712.9-11.8
Aces0.81.3
Double faults0.61.6
1st serve %66.4%61.8%
Break %50.5%46.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Khololwam Montsi

WWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Devin Badenhorst
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 10-17 L
12/07 Ofek Shimanov
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
11/07 Kriish Tyagi
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 11-2 W
10/07 Zsombor Velcz
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 17-14 W
09/07 Devin Badenhorst
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
07/07 Pavlos Christoforakis
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
05/07 Devin Badenhorst
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
04/07 Henry Jefferson
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 14-12 W
03/07 Kris Van Wyk
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
02/07 James Beaven
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Damir Dzumhur

WLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Hubert Hurkacz
US Open · Hard
1-3 12-22 L
06/08 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
04/08 Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
18/07 Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Umag · Clay
1-2 11-17 L
17/07 Alex Molcan
ATP Umag · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
16/07 Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Umag · Clay
2-1 20-19 W
15/07 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Umag · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
13/07 Henrique Rocha
ATP Umag · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
08/07 Zsombor Piros
Challenger Iasi · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
07/07 Stefan Horia Haita
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Khololwam Montsi vs Damir Dzumhur?

Our model gives 54% to Damir Dzumhur, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.