Prediction: Alex Molcan vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
Team pages: Alex Molcan · Stefanos Sakellaridis
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Molcan
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Molcan
5-5 (W-L)
Stefanos Sakellaridis
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alex Molcan
1–0
Stefanos Sakellaridis
(1 last)
- 06 Sept2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Molcan 1502 · Stefanos Sakellaridis 1514
| Alex Molcan | Stefanos Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Stefanos Sakellaridis dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 50.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Alex Molcan 1–0 Stefanos Sakellaridis (1).
- Note: Stefanos Sakellaridis makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Alex Molcan | Stefanos Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.5 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-13.5 | 12.3-12.7 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 71% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 50.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
H2H · Alex Molcan 1 – 0 Stefanos Sakellaridis (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Molcan 1–0 Stefanos Sakellaridis
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/25 Challenger Istanbul | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Molcan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Benjamin Bonzi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-21 | L |
| 23/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Valentin Royer ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Jiri Lehecka Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Daniel Altmaier Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-17 | W |
Stefanos Sakellaridis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 09/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 07/09 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Christopher O'Connell US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Zizou Bergs Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Molcan vs Stefanos Sakellaridis?
Our model gives 57% to Alex Molcan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.