Prediction: Toby Samuel vs Andy Andrade
Team pages: Toby Samuel · Andy Andrade
Prediction summary
Winner
Toby Samuel
Andy Andrade
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Toby Samuel
6-4 (W-L)
Andy Andrade
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Toby Samuel 1578 · Andy Andrade 1559
| Toby Samuel | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Toby Samuel makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Toby Samuel | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-9 | 13.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 49% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toby Samuel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Jiri Lehecka US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 30/08 | Tomas Machac US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Billy Harris US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Francesco Maestrelli US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Andy Andrade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Liam Draxl Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Toby Samuel vs Andy Andrade?
Our model gives 67% to Toby Samuel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.