Prediction: Arthur Fery vs Alvaro Guillen Meza
Team pages: Arthur Fery · Alvaro Guillen Meza
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Fery
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Fery
5-5 (W-L)
Alvaro Guillen Meza
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Fery 1517 · Alvaro Guillen Meza 1387
| Arthur Fery | Alvaro Guillen Meza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arthur Fery (rating 1517 vs 1387).
- Arthur Fery is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Alvaro Guillen Meza makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Arthur Fery | Alvaro Guillen Meza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.4 | 0.6-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-14.3 | 10.7-14.5 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 55.5% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Fery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Lorenzo Musetti US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 29/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Mees Rottgering ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/08 | James Duckworth ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 08/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Grigor Dimitrov Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-27 | W |
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 31/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Fery vs Alvaro Guillen Meza?
Our model gives 79% to Arthur Fery, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.