Tennis · Davis Cup · 19/09, 14:00

Prediction: Elmer Moller vs Iliyan Radulov

Team pages: Elmer Moller · Iliyan Radulov

Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Elmer Moller Iliyan Radulov
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Elmer Moller 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLWLWLW
Iliyan Radulov 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLLWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elmer Moller 1468 · Iliyan Radulov 1433
Elmer MollerIliyan Radulov
Our model55%45%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Elmer Moller makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Elmer MollerIliyan Radulov
Win %40%20%
Win % · Hard 25% (4) 29% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.20.6-1.7
Games (G-P)10.7-12.29-12.9
Aces2.62.4
Double faults4.72.3
1st serve %67.4%60.9%
Break %37.8%44.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elmer Moller

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Grigor Dimitrov
Davis Cup
1-2 14-18 L
02/09 Maks Kasnikowski
Challenger Manacor · Hard
1-2 12-16 L
24/08 Coleman Wong
US Open · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
19/08 Anton Matusevich
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
18/08 Ivan Ivanov
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
11/08 Rudolf Molleker
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
08/08 Jerome Kym
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
07/08 Carlos Taberner
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
06/08 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
04/08 Jamie Mackenzie
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Iliyan Radulov

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Holger Rune
Davis Cup
0-2 6-12 L
06/09 Oriol Roca Batalla
Challenger Seville · Clay
1-2 13-19 L
24/08 Johannus Monday
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
1-2 12-18 L
19/08 Mark Ceban
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
17/08 Johannus Monday
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
03/08 Michele Ribecai
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
19/07 Cyril Vandermeersch
Challenger Segovia · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/07 Ilya Ivashka
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
12/07 Sergio Callejon Hernando
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
09/07 Yanki Erel
M25 Roda de Bara
0-2 8-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elmer Moller vs Iliyan Radulov?

Our model gives 60% to Elmer Moller, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.