Prediction: Alexander Zverev vs Matej Dodig
Team pages: Alexander Zverev · Matej Dodig
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Zverev
Matej Dodig
Estimated games
26.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Zverev
9-1 (W-L)
Matej Dodig
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Zverev 1629 · Matej Dodig 1585
| Alexander Zverev | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Zverev (rating 1629 vs 1585).
- Alexander Zverev dominates on serve: 13.1 aces and 42.9% break avg.
- Matej Dodig dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 57.9% break avg.
- Note: Alexander Zverev makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Zverev | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.6-0.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 20.3-15.4 | 13.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 13.1 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 80.3% | 80.3% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 57.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Zverev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Ben Shelton US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-18 | W |
| 11/09 | Karen Khachanov US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-15 | W |
| 10/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Alejandro Tabilo US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 04/09 | Quentin Halys US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 29-26 | W |
| 02/09 | Lorenzo Sonego US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-26 | W |
| 19/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Terence Atmane ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Cameron Norrie ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Matej Dodig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Johan Nikles Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 31/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Zverev vs Matej Dodig?
Our model gives 75% to Alexander Zverev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.