Tennis · Davis Cup · 19/09, 14:00

Prediction: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Edas Butvilas

Team pages: Miomir Kecmanovic · Edas Butvilas

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Miomir Kecmanovic Edas Butvilas
Estimated games
24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Miomir Kecmanovic 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWWLWLL
Edas Butvilas 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Miomir Kecmanovic 1471 · Edas Butvilas 1547
Miomir KecmanovicEdas Butvilas
Our model39%61%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Edas Butvilas (rating 1471 vs 1547).
  • Edas Butvilas dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 45.5% break avg.
  • Edas Butvilas is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Miomir KecmanovicEdas Butvilas
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.51.5-1
Games (G-P)12.8-13.814.1-12.1
Aces3.46.2
Double faults3.32.3
1st serve %67.8%73.2%
Break %37.3%45.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Miomir Kecmanovic

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/08 Denis Shapovalov
US Open · Hard
1-3 15-22 L
26/08 Fabian Marozsan
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
23/08 Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
15/08 Flavio Cobolli
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
13/08 Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
05/08 Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 15-18 L
04/08 Michael Zheng
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
21/07 Sebastian Baez
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
16/07 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Gstaad · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
13/07 Kilian Feldbausch
ATP Gstaad · Clay
2-1 13-10 W

Edas Butvilas

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/09 Max Basing
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
10/09 Miguel Tobon
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
08/09 Gabriel Ghetu
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
04/09 Luca Potenza
Challenger Manacor · Hard
1-2 17-18 L
03/09 Remy Bertola
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
13/08 Daniel Milavsky
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
11/08 Michael Mmoh
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
09/08 Andre Ilagan
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 14-14 W
08/08 Dusan Lajovic
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 18-11 W
07/08 Rei Sakamoto
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 17-17 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miomir Kecmanovic vs Edas Butvilas?

Our model gives 54% to Miomir Kecmanovic, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.