Prediction: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton
Team pages: Jakub Mensik · Ben Shelton
Prediction summary
Winner
Jakub Mensik
Ben Shelton
Estimated games
26.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jakub Mensik
7-3 (W-L)
Ben Shelton
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jakub Mensik
2–2
Ben Shelton
(4 last)
- 12 Aug0-2 4-12L
- 27 Apr2-0 12-5W
- 08 Jan2-1 18-17W
- 09 Mar1-2 13-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jakub Mensik 1543 · Ben Shelton 1609
| Jakub Mensik | Ben Shelton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ben Shelton (rating 1543 vs 1609).
- Note: Jakub Mensik makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Jakub Mensik | Ben Shelton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.1 | 2.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-13.2 | 18.4-16.2 |
| Aces | 11.5 | 9.4 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 77.9% | 75.5% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.3
H2H · Jakub Mensik 2 – 2 Ben Shelton (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jakub Mensik 2–2 Ben Shelton
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/26 ATP Montreal | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/04/25 ATP Madrid | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/01/25 ATP Auckland | 2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 09/03/24 ATP Indian Wells | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jakub Mensik
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Learner Tien Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Learner Tien US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-25 | L |
| 03/09 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-14 | W |
| 01/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 12/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Terence Atmane ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Ben Shelton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Jiri Lehecka Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 12/09 | Frances Tiafoe US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 09/09 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 26-23 | W |
| 07/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Denis Shapovalov US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-20 | W |
| 02/09 | Hubert Hurkacz US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-21 | W |
| 01/09 | Tallon Griekspoor US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 20-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton?
Our model gives 61% to Ben Shelton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.