Tennis · Davis Cup · 19/09, 12:30

Prediction: Jurij Rodionov vs Zizou Bergs

Team pages: Jurij Rodionov · Zizou Bergs

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Jurij Rodionov Zizou Bergs
Estimated games
24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jurij Rodionov 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWLWLWWW
Zizou Bergs 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWLWWWL
Head-to-head
Jurij Rodionov 2–4 Zizou Bergs (6 last)
  • 10 Feb0-2 10-13L
  • 28 Jul2-0 13-8W
  • 19 Jul1-2 18-18L
  • 18 Jun1-2 13-17L
  • 10 Jun2-0 12-6W
  • 14 Jun1-2 14-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jurij Rodionov 1531 · Zizou Bergs 1506
Jurij RodionovZizou Bergs
Our model54%46%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Jurij Rodionov 2–4 Zizou Bergs (6).
  • Note: Zizou Bergs makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

Jurij RodionovZizou Bergs
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 63% (8) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.11.5-1.5
Games (G-P)12.8-11.514.3-14
Aces7.67.6
Double faults2.26
1st serve %69.7%78.4%
Break %37.5%36.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.5

H2H · Jurij Rodionov 24 Zizou Bergs (6)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jurij Rodionov 24 Zizou Bergs

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DateSetsGamesRes.
10/02/24
ATP Rotterdam
0-210-13L
28/07/23
Challenger Zug
2-013-8W
19/07/23
ATP Gstaad
1-218-18L
18/06/23
Challenger Ilkley
1-213-17L
10/06/23
Challenger Surbiton
2-012-6W
14/06/22
Challenger Ilkley
1-214-18L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jurij Rodionov

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Gauthier Onclin
Davis Cup
2-0 12-5 W
09/09 Daniel Masur
Challenger Cassis · Hard
1-2 11-17 L
08/09 Matisse Bobichon
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
03/09 Jakub Mensik
US Open · Hard
1-3 14-21 L
31/08 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
US Open · Hard
3-0 20-12 W
28/08 Jacob Fearnley
US Open · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
26/08 Frederico Ferreira Silva
US Open · Hard
2-1 15-9 W
24/08 Kimmer Coppejans
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
18/08 Rei Sakamoto
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
31/07 Jamie Mackenzie
Challenger Bonn · Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Zizou Bergs

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Lukas Neumayer
Davis Cup
2-1 14-12 W
05/09 Botic Van De Zandschulp
US Open · Hard
2-3 27-27 L
04/09 Jesper De Jong
US Open · Hard
3-1 21-19 W
02/09 Carlos Taberner
US Open · Hard
3-1 21-13 W
21/08 Stefanos Sakellaridis
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
1-2 16-17 L
21/08 Andrea Pellegrino
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/08 Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
07/08 Ben Shelton
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
05/08 Sebastian Baez
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
27/07 Taylor Fritz
ATP Washington · Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jurij Rodionov vs Zizou Bergs?

Our model gives 56% to Zizou Bergs, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.