Tennis · Davis Cup · 19/09, 11:30

Prediction: Melios Efstathiou vs Oleksii Krutykh

Team pages: Melios Efstathiou · Oleksii Krutykh

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Melios Efstathiou Oleksii Krutykh
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Melios Efstathiou 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWLWLWW
Oleksii Krutykh 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Melios Efstathiou 1565 · Oleksii Krutykh 1549
Melios EfstathiouOleksii Krutykh
Our model52%48%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Melios EfstathiouOleksii Krutykh
Win %70%70%
Win % · Clay 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.5-0.7
Games (G-P)12.1-9.311.5-9.1
Aces0.72.7
Double faults2.52
1st serve %68.7%73%
Break %54%49.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Melios Efstathiou

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/09 Leonardo Rossi
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 13-8 W
12/09 Filippo Moroni
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 12-6 W
11/09 Fabrizio Andaloro
M25 Pozzuoli
2-1 18-10 W
10/09 Mariano Tammaro
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 12-4 W
12/08 Oskari Paldanius
M15 Turku
0-2 9-13 L
11/08 Kacper Szymkowiak
M15 Turku
2-0 12-5 W
17/07 Luca Castagnola
M15 Nova Gorica
1-2 14-17 L
16/07 Alexander Gschiel
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 13-9 W
15/07 Lorenzo Ferri
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 13-9 W
01/07 Marko Retelj
M15 Store
0-2 5-12 L

Oleksii Krutykh

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Massimo Giunta
Challenger Genoa · Clay
1-2 14-17 L
06/09 Stefan Popovic
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
25/08 Matias Soto
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
24/08 Federico Iannaccone
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/08 Kasra Rahmani
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
20/08 Chun Hsin Tseng
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
19/08 Nick Hardt
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
18/08 Daniel Siniakov
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
17/08 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
16/08 Michael Vrbensky
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-1 14-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Melios Efstathiou vs Oleksii Krutykh?

Our model gives 56% to Oleksii Krutykh, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.