Prediction: Alejandro Tabilo vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Team pages: Alejandro Tabilo · Daniel Merida Aguilar
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Tabilo
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Estimated games
24.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Tabilo
5-5 (W-L)
Daniel Merida Aguilar
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Tabilo 1521 · Daniel Merida Aguilar 1558
| Alejandro Tabilo | Daniel Merida Aguilar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alejandro Tabilo | Daniel Merida Aguilar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.3 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-14.4 | 13.6-10.5 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 33.9% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Tabilo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 03/09 | Alexei Popyrin US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-20 | W |
| 31/08 | Yannick Hanfmann US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 01/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Terence Atmane ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/07 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Alex Michelsen US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 02/09 | Andrey Rublev US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-17 | W |
| 30/08 | Marton Fucsovics US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Zizou Bergs ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Marin Cilic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Learner Tien ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Ugo Humbert ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Tabilo vs Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Our model gives 53% to Daniel Merida Aguilar, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.