Prediction: Cristian Garin vs Rafael Jodar
Team pages: Cristian Garin · Rafael Jodar
Prediction summary
Winner
Cristian Garin
Rafael Jodar
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Cristian Garin
6-4 (W-L)
Rafael Jodar
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cristian Garin 1502 · Rafael Jodar 1538
| Cristian Garin | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Cristian Garin | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-12.8 | 12.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cristian Garin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Elias Ymer US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Spencer Johnson US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 26/05 | Learner Tien French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 8-20 | L |
| 16/05 | Henri Squire ATP Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/05 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/05 | Jan Choinski ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/05 | Moez Echargui ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/04 | Nuno Borges Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Rafael Jodar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 4-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/08 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 13/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Corentin Moutet ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cristian Garin vs Rafael Jodar?
Our model gives 68% to Rafael Jodar, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.