Prediction: Alex De Minaur vs Maks Kasnikowski
Team pages: Alex De Minaur · Maks Kasnikowski
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex De Minaur
Maks Kasnikowski
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alex De Minaur
6-4 (W-L)
Maks Kasnikowski
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex De Minaur 1529 · Maks Kasnikowski 1508
| Alex De Minaur | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alex De Minaur makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Alex De Minaur | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-12.2 | 13.2-12 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex De Minaur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 02/09 | Andrea Guerrieri US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 06/08 | Cameron Norrie ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 05/08 | James Duckworth ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Maks Kasnikowski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Christian Langmo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Elmer Moller Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Philip Henning Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex De Minaur vs Maks Kasnikowski?
Our model gives 73% to Alex De Minaur, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.