Tennis · Davis Cup · 19/09, 02:00

Prediction: Anton Shepp vs Rei Sakamoto

Team pages: Anton Shepp · Rei Sakamoto

Prediction summary
Winner
27% 73%
Anton Shepp Rei Sakamoto
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Anton Shepp 3-7 (W-L)
WLWLLLLLWL
Rei Sakamoto 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anton Shepp 1434 · Rei Sakamoto 1535
Anton SheppRei Sakamoto
Our model36%64%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rei Sakamoto (rating 1434 vs 1535).
  • Rei Sakamoto is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Anton SheppRei Sakamoto
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 25% (8) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.61.4-1.2
Games (G-P)9.1-11.913.9-12.9
Aces6.213.1
Double faults1.62.8
1st serve %70.4%78.2%
Break %25%36.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anton Shepp

LLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Nathan Anthony Barki
M15 Bali
0-2 7-12 L
08/09 Hitesh Chauhan
M15 Bali
2-0 12-4 W
31/08 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Manacor · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
24/08 Lui Maxted
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/08 Mark Ceban
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
28/07 Evan Zhu
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
20/07 Daniel Milavsky
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/07 Alexander Rozin
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
2-1 15-12 W
16/07 Coleman Wong
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
14/07 Jack Kennedy
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-1 14-13 W

Rei Sakamoto

WWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Ji Sung Nam
Challenger Shanghai · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
03/09 Frances Tiafoe
US Open · Hard
0-3 14-20 L
31/08 Aleksandar Vukic
US Open · Hard
3-2 27-25 W
28/08 Kei Nishikori
US Open · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
26/08 Alexandre Muller
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
25/08 Jay Clarke
US Open · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
20/08 Luca Van Assche
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
1-2 16-17 L
18/08 Jurij Rodionov
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
14/08 Daniel Milavsky
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
13/08 Dhakshineswar Suresh
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anton Shepp vs Rei Sakamoto?

Our model gives 73% to Rei Sakamoto, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.