Prediction: Soonwoo Kwon vs Sumit Nagal
Team pages: Soonwoo Kwon · Sumit Nagal
Prediction summary
Winner
Soonwoo Kwon
Sumit Nagal
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Soonwoo Kwon
6-4 (W-L)
Sumit Nagal
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Soonwoo Kwon 1554 · Sumit Nagal 1464
| Soonwoo Kwon | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Soonwoo Kwon (rating 1554 vs 1464).
- Soonwoo Kwon dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 41% break avg.
- Soonwoo Kwon is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Soonwoo Kwon makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Soonwoo Kwon | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.6-12.1 | 10.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 77.8% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 41% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Soonwoo Kwon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Davis Cup |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Keegan Smith Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Gavin Young Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Sumit Nagal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Hyeon Chung Davis Cup |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Soonwoo Kwon vs Sumit Nagal?
Our model gives 70% to Soonwoo Kwon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.