Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 18/09, 22:30
Prediction: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
Team pages: Michael Zheng · Mitchell Krueger
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Zheng
Mitchell Krueger
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Zheng
5-5 (W-L)
Mitchell Krueger
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Michael Zheng
1–0
Mitchell Krueger
(1 last)
- 04 Oct2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Zheng 1589 · Mitchell Krueger 1483
| Michael Zheng | Mitchell Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michael Zheng (rating 1589 vs 1483).
- Michael Zheng dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 52.9% break avg.
- Michael Zheng is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Michael Zheng 1–0 Mitchell Krueger (1).
- Note: Michael Zheng makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Michael Zheng | Mitchell Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.5-12.6 | 11.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 76.1% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 35.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Michael Zheng 1 – 0 Mitchell Krueger (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Michael Zheng 1–0 Mitchell Krueger
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Challenger Tiburon | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Zheng
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Evan Zhu Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-26 | L |
| 04/09 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 20-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Fabian Marozsan US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Ugo Humbert ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Trevor Svajda ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Moez Echargui ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Mitchell Krueger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 15/09 | Keegan Smith Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 25/08 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Alex Martinez Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Gavin Young M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 Dallas |
1-1 | 7-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Aleksandar Mitric M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Jay Friend Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger?
Our model gives 78% to Michael Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.