Tennis · Davis Cup · 18/09, 18:30

Prediction: Nick Hardt vs Karim Mabrouk

Team pages: Nick Hardt · Karim Mabrouk

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Nick Hardt Karim Mabrouk
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Nick Hardt 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLLWLWW
Karim Mabrouk 4-6 (W-L)
WWLWLLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nick Hardt 1485 · Karim Mabrouk 1485
Nick HardtKarim Mabrouk
Our model50%50%
Market91%9%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Nick Hardt makes many double faults (5.3/match).

Statistics

Nick HardtKarim Mabrouk
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.31.1-1.2
Games (G-P)11.5-11.89.2-11
Aces2.13
Double faults5.33.6
1st serve %66.7%68%
Break %42.4%36.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nick Hardt

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Marco Cecchinato
Challenger Porto · Clay
1-2 9-16 L
25/08 Kai Wehnelt
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
1-2 11-14 L
19/08 Oleksii Krutykh
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
17/08 Jakub Filip
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
10/08 Marco Cecchinato
Challenger Todi · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
09/07 Lorenzo Claverie
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
07/07 Alex Hernandez
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-1 17-14 W
26/06 Wilson Leite
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
25/06 Nicolas Oliveira
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
2-1 14-14 W
20/06 Juan Estevez
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-1 17-14 W

Karim Mabrouk

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Thijs Boogaard
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
27/08 Dev Javia
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 10-15 L
16/07 Toufik Sahtali
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
15/07 Louay Makke
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-12 W
14/07 Rahul Dhokia
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 10-11 W
08/07 Tuncay Duran
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
07/07 Enrico Rosellini
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
02/07 Digvijay Pratap Singh
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-13 L
01/07 Sean Daryabeigi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
30/06 Arin Pallegar
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nick Hardt vs Karim Mabrouk?

Our model gives 73% to Nick Hardt, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.