Tennis · Davis Cup · 18/09, 21:00

Prediction: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Markus Molder

Team pages: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo · Markus Molder

Prediction summary
Winner
74% 26%
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Markus Molder
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWLW
Markus Molder 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLWWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1627 · Markus Molder 1550
Joaquin Aguillar CardozoMarkus Molder
Our model61%39%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (rating 1627 vs 1550).
  • Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo is in better form: 100% recent wins.

Statistics

Joaquin Aguillar CardozoMarkus Molder
Win %100%70%
Win % · Clay 100% (5) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)2-0.11.6-1
Games (G-P)12.5-5.513.7-12
Aces0.75.3
Double faults1.92.9
1st serve %70.4%73.9%
Break %57%47.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo

WWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/08 Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 12-4 W
29/08 Gonzalo Villanueva
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-1 17-16 W
28/08 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 12-4 W
27/08 Federico Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 12-6 W
26/08 Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 12-4 W
22/08 Gonzalo Villanueva
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
21/08 Maxwell Exsted
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
20/08 Rodrigo Alujas
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
19/08 Nathan Cox
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
18/08 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Markus Molder

WWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/08 Arvid Nordquist
M15 Turku
0-2 4-12 L
11/08 Melvin Kumar
M15 Turku
2-1 16-12 W
02/08 Conor Gannon
M15 Dublin
1-2 17-19 L
01/08 Robin Catry
M15 Dublin
2-1 16-14 W
31/07 Michael Agwi
M15 Dublin
2-0 12-5 W
30/07 Matisse Farzam
M15 Dublin
2-0 14-11 W
28/07 Pablo Perez Ramos
M15 Dublin
2-1 17-15 W
25/06 Leyton Rivera
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
24/06 Lorenzo Ferri
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
10/06 Matthias Uwe Kask
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Markus Molder?

Our model gives 74% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.