Tennis · Davis Cup · 18/09, 22:00

Prediction: Joao Fonseca vs Dominic Stephan Stricker

Team pages: Joao Fonseca · Dominic Stephan Stricker

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Joao Fonseca Dominic Stephan Stricker
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Fonseca 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWWLWWLW
Dominic Stephan Stricker 7-3 (W-L)
WLWLWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Joao Fonseca 1537 · Dominic Stephan Stricker 1565
Joao FonsecaDominic Stephan Stricker
Our model46%54%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Joao FonsecaDominic Stephan Stricker
Win %60%80%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.11.6-0.6
Games (G-P)13.8-13.511.8-9
Aces5.55.2
Double faults1.92.1
1st serve %65.5%75.7%
Break %45.5%46.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Joao Fonseca

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/08 Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
10/08 Ben Shelton
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
08/08 Casper Ruud
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
05/08 Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
03/07 Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 9-18 L
01/07 Jesper De Jong
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-10 W
29/06 Roberto Bautista-Agut
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-13 W
16/06 Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Halle · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
02/06 Jakub Mensik
French Open · Clay
0-3 13-19 L
31/05 Casper Ruud
French Open · Clay
3-1 25-20 W

Dominic Stephan Stricker

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Martin Krumich
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
22/08 Benjamin Hassan
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-1 14-9 W
21/08 Tommaso Compagnucci
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
20/08 Mika Brunold
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
19/08 Lucio Ratti
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
18/08 Raphael Perot
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
24/07 Marc-Andrea Huesler
Challenger Zug · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
23/07 Norbert Gombos
Challenger Zug · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
21/07 Francesco Passaro
Challenger Zug · Clay
2-1 19-14 W
20/07 Juan Bautista Torres
Challenger Zug · Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Joao Fonseca vs Dominic Stephan Stricker?

Our model gives 63% to Joao Fonseca, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.