Prediction: Gustavo Heide vs Stan Wawrinka
Team pages: Gustavo Heide · Stan Wawrinka
Prediction summary
Winner
Gustavo Heide
Stan Wawrinka
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gustavo Heide
6-4 (W-L)
Stan Wawrinka
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gustavo Heide 1540 · Stan Wawrinka 1408
| Gustavo Heide | Stan Wawrinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gustavo Heide (rating 1540 vs 1408).
- Gustavo Heide is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gustavo Heide | Stan Wawrinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.6-2.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.3 | 13.1-16.5 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 8.9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 21% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gustavo Heide
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Goncalo Marques Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Joel Schwaerzler US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 17/08 | Harold Mayot Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Stan Wawrinka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Matteo Berrettini US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 12-20 | L |
| 21/08 | Roman Safiullin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Matteo Berrettini Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 25-27 | L |
| 07/06 | Arthur Rinderknech Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Corentin Moutet Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Jesper De Jong French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 16-21 | L |
| 20/05 | Alex Michelsen ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gustavo Heide vs Stan Wawrinka?
Our model gives 55% to Gustavo Heide, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.