Tennis · Davis Cup · 18/09, 23:30

Prediction: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Quentin Halys

Team pages: Felix Auger Aliassime · Quentin Halys

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Felix Auger Aliassime Quentin Halys
Estimated games
27.7
Recent form · 10 last
Felix Auger Aliassime 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLLWWLWW
Quentin Halys 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWWL
Head-to-head
Felix Auger Aliassime 3–0 Quentin Halys (3 last)
  • 28 Feb2-1 17-14W
  • 18 Feb2-1 17-16W
  • 07 Feb2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Felix Auger Aliassime 1533 · Quentin Halys 1533
Felix Auger AliassimeQuentin Halys
Our model50%50%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Felix Auger Aliassime dominates on serve: 15.1 aces and 55.8% break avg.
  • Quentin Halys dominates on serve: 12.5 aces and 43.6% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Felix Auger Aliassime 3–0 Quentin Halys (3).
  • Note: Felix Auger Aliassime makes many double faults (5.3/match).
  • Note: Quentin Halys makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Felix Auger AliassimeQuentin Halys
Win %70%70%
Win % · Hard 60% (5) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)2.2-1.11.9-0.9
Games (G-P)18.7-15.316.3-13.7
Aces15.112.5
Double faults5.34.3
1st serve %79.8%82.2%
Break %55.8%43.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 27.7

H2H · Felix Auger Aliassime 30 Quentin Halys (3)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Felix Auger Aliassime 30 Quentin Halys

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DateSetsGamesRes.
28/02/25
ATP Dubai
2-117-14W
18/02/25
ATP Doha
2-117-16W
07/02/24
ATP Marseille
2-013-7W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Felix Auger Aliassime

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Karen Khachanov
US Open · Hard
1-3 14-24 L
01/09 Rinky Hijikata
US Open · Hard
3-1 24-19 W
20/08 Frances Tiafoe
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
19/08 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
16/08 Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
07/07 Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon · Grass
2-3 28-29 L
05/07 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon · Grass
3-2 31-24 W
03/07 Michael Zheng
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-9 W
01/07 Dino Prizmic
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 20-14 W
29/06 Alexander Shevchenko
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 18-8 W

Quentin Halys

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Alexander Zverev
US Open · Hard
2-3 26-29 L
01/09 Facundo Diaz Acosta
US Open · Hard
3-1 25-17 W
25/08 Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
15/08 Alex De Minaur
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 15-14 L
14/08 Vit Kopriva
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
13/08 Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
11/08 Soonwoo Kwon
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
25/07 Alexander Bublik
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
24/07 Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
23/07 Mariano Navone
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Felix Auger Aliassime vs Quentin Halys?

Our model gives 62% to Felix Auger Aliassime, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.