Prediction: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Rinderknech
Team pages: Liam Draxl · Arthur Rinderknech
Prediction summary
Winner
Liam Draxl
Arthur Rinderknech
Estimated games
25.8
Recent form · 10 last
Liam Draxl
8-2 (W-L)
Arthur Rinderknech
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liam Draxl 1521 · Arthur Rinderknech 1497
| Liam Draxl | Arthur Rinderknech | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Liam Draxl dominates on serve: 7 aces and 50.8% break avg.
- Arthur Rinderknech dominates on serve: 15.8 aces and 49.5% break avg.
- Note: Arthur Rinderknech makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Liam Draxl | Arthur Rinderknech | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.6 | 18-16.9 |
| Aces | 7 | 15.8 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 79.4% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liam Draxl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Tristan Schoolkate US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Andrew Johnson US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Nicolas Mejia US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 26/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Arthur Rinderknech
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Daniil Medvedev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Jaume Munar US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 30/08 | Sho Shimabukuro US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-17 | W |
| 16/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 05/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Clement Tabur ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 03/07 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-21 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liam Draxl vs Arthur Rinderknech?
Our model gives 63% to Arthur Rinderknech, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.