Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 18/09, 10:00
Prediction: Marco Cecchinato vs Marco Trungelliti
Team pages: Marco Cecchinato · Marco Trungelliti
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Cecchinato
Marco Trungelliti
Estimated games
25.6
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Cecchinato
6-4 (W-L)
Marco Trungelliti
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marco Cecchinato
3–2
Marco Trungelliti
(5 last)
- 15 Mar1-2 9-16L
- 08 Nov0-2 8-12L
- 21 Jul2-0 12-3W
- 30 May3-0 19-8W
- 05 May2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Cecchinato 1533 · Marco Trungelliti 1544
| Marco Cecchinato | Marco Trungelliti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Marco Cecchinato 3–2 Marco Trungelliti (5).
- Note: Marco Trungelliti makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Marco Cecchinato | Marco Trungelliti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.2 | 14.8-15.6 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 71% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.6
H2H · Marco Cecchinato 3 – 2 Marco Trungelliti (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marco Cecchinato 3–2 Marco Trungelliti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Challenger Kigali | 1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 08/11/22 Challenger Montevideo | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07/18 ATP Umag | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/05/18 French Open | 3-0 | 19-8 | W |
| 05/05/17 Challenger Ostrava | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Cecchinato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 15/09 | Henri Squire Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 03/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Nick Hardt Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Vilius Gaubas US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Liam Broady US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Francesco Forti Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Marco Trungelliti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 15/09 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/09 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 12-21 | L |
| 31/08 | Juncheng Shang US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 20-25 | W |
| 16/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Kei Nishikori ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Cecchinato vs Marco Trungelliti?
Our model gives 56% to Marco Trungelliti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.