Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 18/09, 10:00
Prediction: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Thiago Monteiro
Team pages: Diego Dedura-Palomero · Thiago Monteiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Thiago Monteiro
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Diego Dedura-Palomero
5-5 (W-L)
Thiago Monteiro
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Diego Dedura-Palomero
0–1
Thiago Monteiro
(1 last)
- 13 Mar0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diego Dedura-Palomero 1525 · Thiago Monteiro 1561
| Diego Dedura-Palomero | Thiago Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Diego Dedura-Palomero 0–1 Thiago Monteiro (1).
Statistics
| Diego Dedura-Palomero | Thiago Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.4 | 13.7-12 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
H2H · Diego Dedura-Palomero 0 – 1 Thiago Monteiro (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Diego Dedura-Palomero 0–1 Thiago Monteiro
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 Challenger Santiago | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diego Dedura-Palomero
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 10/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Frederico Ferreira Silva US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Dominik Recek Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Thiago Monteiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/09 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 04/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 03/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Thiago Monteiro?
Our model gives 52% to Thiago Monteiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.