Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 18/09, 11:00
Prediction: Tom Gentzsch vs Luka Mikrut
Team pages: Tom Gentzsch · Luka Mikrut
Prediction summary
Winner
Tom Gentzsch
Luka Mikrut
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tom Gentzsch
8-2 (W-L)
Luka Mikrut
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tom Gentzsch 1584 · Luka Mikrut 1541
| Tom Gentzsch | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tom Gentzsch (rating 1584 vs 1541).
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 43.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Tom Gentzsch | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-10.2 | 11.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 8.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 32.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Alan Wazny Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Francesco Passaro US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Pol Martin Tiffon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Luka Mikrut
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Stefano Travaglia Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 04/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/05 | Nerman Fatic French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tom Gentzsch vs Luka Mikrut?
Our model gives 58% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.