Tennis · M15 Monastir · 18/09, 10:30
Prediction: Ewen Lumsden vs Ergi Kirkin
Team pages: Ewen Lumsden · Ergi Kirkin
Prediction summary
Winner
Ewen Lumsden
Ergi Kirkin
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ewen Lumsden
9-1 (W-L)
Ergi Kirkin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ewen Lumsden 1622 · Ergi Kirkin 1520
| Ewen Lumsden | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ewen Lumsden (rating 1622 vs 1520).
- Ewen Lumsden is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ewen Lumsden | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (8) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-5.6 | 10.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 76.8% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ewen Lumsden
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | William Nolan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Jacopo Denitto M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/05 | Kyle Mckay UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/05 | Cian McDonnell UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/05 | Liam Hignett UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/05 | Thomas Pudney UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/05 | Finlay Watters UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/05 | Alvar Lange UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/04 | Emile Hudd M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Alexis Canter M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Ergi Kirkin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Lucca Liu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 31/08 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Togan Tokac Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 18/08 | David Eichenseher M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ewen Lumsden vs Ergi Kirkin?
Our model gives 54% to Ergi Kirkin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.