Tennis · M15 Monastir · 25/09, 12:00

Prediction: Liam Branger vs Etienne Donnet

Team pages: Liam Branger · Etienne Donnet

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Liam Branger Etienne Donnet
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Liam Branger 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWWWWLWL
Etienne Donnet 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Liam Branger 1533 · Etienne Donnet 1482
Liam BrangerEtienne Donnet
Our model57%43%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liam Branger (rating 1533 vs 1482).

Statistics

Liam BrangerEtienne Donnet
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 100% (2) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11-1.4
Games (G-P)11.7-11.310.1-11.6
Aces3.94.2
Double faults2.62.7
1st serve %67.8%69.5%
Break %37.5%33.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Liam Branger

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/09 Peter Makk
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-13 W
23/09 Kristijonas Milasauskas
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
16/09 Leonardo Rossi
M25 Nevers
0-2 7-12 L
03/09 Raphael Perot
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
1-2 9-16 L
02/09 Yannis Batsabaken
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 13-9 W
31/08 Martin Simon
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 12-7 W
30/08 Marc Vives Martinez
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 12-5 W
28/08 Maxime Chazal
M15 Cap d'Agde
0-2 3-12 L
26/08 Timeo Trufelli
M15 Cap d'Agde
2-1 19-14 W
28/07 Arthur Nagel
M15 Strasbourg
1-2 13-16 L

Etienne Donnet

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/09 Oluwaseun Peter Ogunsakin
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
23/09 Sven Corbinais
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 15-12 W
18/09 Alexandre Reco
M25 Nevers
1-2 11-15 L
17/09 Hugo Car
M25 Nevers
2-1 14-13 W
16/09 Sean Hodkin
M25 Nevers
2-0 12-7 W
02/09 Dan Added
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
0-2 2-9 L
26/08 Mahmoud Chetouane
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 16-19 L
04/03 Leonardo Rossi
M15 Poitiers · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
25/02 Tom Sickenberger
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
05/11 Robert Strombachs
M25 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Liam Branger vs Etienne Donnet?

Our model gives 55% to Etienne Donnet, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.