Tennis · M15 Monastir · 25/09, 10:30
Prediction: Toby Martin vs Ewen Lumsden
Team pages: Toby Martin · Ewen Lumsden
Prediction summary
Winner
Toby Martin
Ewen Lumsden
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Toby Martin
7-3 (W-L)
Ewen Lumsden
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Toby Martin 1562 · Ewen Lumsden 1611
| Toby Martin | Ewen Lumsden | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ewen Lumsden (rating 1562 vs 1611).
Statistics
| Toby Martin | Ewen Lumsden | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.9-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.7 | 12.7-7.6 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toby Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 15/09 | Axel Garcian M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 11/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Stefan Seifert M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 09/09 | Adhithya Ganesan M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Loic Namigandet Tenguere M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Finn Hopfe M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Scott Ekindi M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Mathys Domenc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Ewen Lumsden
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Mae Malige M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Kasra Rahmani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/09 | William Nolan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Jacopo Denitto M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/05 | Kyle Mckay UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/05 | Cian McDonnell UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/05 | Liam Hignett UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/05 | Thomas Pudney UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Toby Martin vs Ewen Lumsden?
Our model gives 57% to Ewen Lumsden, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.