Tennis · Challenger Biella · 18/09, 13:30
Prediction: Alex Barrena vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Team pages: Alex Barrena · Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Barrena
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Barrena
5-5 (W-L)
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Barrena 1568 · Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 1520
| Alex Barrena | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Barrena (rating 1568 vs 1520).
Statistics
| Alex Barrena | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.7 | 10.4-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 09/09 | Nico Hipfl Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Michele Mecarelli Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 22/08 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Gregorio Biondolillo M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Barrena vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano?
Our model gives 58% to Alex Barrena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.