Tennis · Challenger Biella · 17/09, 10:00
Prediction: Jay Clarke vs Felix Gill
Team pages: Jay Clarke · Felix Gill
Prediction summary
Winner
Jay Clarke
Felix Gill
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jay Clarke
6-4 (W-L)
Felix Gill
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jay Clarke 1536 · Felix Gill 1524
| Jay Clarke | Felix Gill | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jay Clarke | Felix Gill | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.3 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-13.1 | 12.7-12 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jay Clarke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 04/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 01/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Rei Sakamoto US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Stijn Paardekooper M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Felix Gill
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Francesco Passaro US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Colton Smith Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 03/08 | Borna Gojo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Max Basing Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | William Jansen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Rafael Jodar Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jay Clarke vs Felix Gill?
Our model gives 53% to Felix Gill, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.