Tennis · Challenger Biella · 18/09, 13:30
Prediction: Mika Brunold vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
Team pages: Mika Brunold · Carlo Alberto Caniato
Prediction summary
Winner
Mika Brunold
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Brunold
9-1 (W-L)
Carlo Alberto Caniato
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mika Brunold 1636 · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1518
| Mika Brunold | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Brunold (rating 1636 vs 1518).
- Mika Brunold is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mika Brunold | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-7.8 | 11.6-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 57.1% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mika Brunold
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Filip Misolic Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/09 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Raphael Perot Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Pierre Delage M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Amine Jamji M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Federico Cecconi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mika Brunold vs Carlo Alberto Caniato?
Our model gives 70% to Mika Brunold, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.